Market trends 2021: Stocks soar, IPOs explode, crypto goes wild

Wall Street delivered another strong year for investors in 2021, as a resurgence in consumer demand fuelled by the reopening of the global economy pumped up corporate profits.

As of December 22, the S&P 500 had risen 25 per cent, its third-straight annual increase. Along the way, the benchmark index set 67 all-time highs.

The market weathered a number of challenges along the way. Skyrocketing inflation, worldwide supply-chain disruptions and a global economy still vulnerable to the uncertainty created by the COVID-19 pandemic fuelled market volatility, especially towards the end of the year.

Wall Street got a boost from the US Federal Reserve, which kept its key short-term interest rate near zero all year. That helped keep borrowing costs for companies low and stock valuations high. However, investors expect the Fed to start pushing rates higher next year.

Inflation awoke from a long slumber in 2021. The United States government’s consumer price index skyrocketed 6.8 per cent in the 12 months that ended in November – the sharpest such jump since 1982.

Wholesale prices rose even more. Many companies have raised prices to offset higher input costs and keep profit margins steady. And consumers are paying more for everything from diapers and detergent to cereal and household appliances.

It’s unclear exactly when the supply bottlenecks will ease, so further price increases could be in store for 2022.

‘Meme stocks’ and bonds

Small investors piled into stocks in 2021, at times banding together on online forums like Reddit’s WallStreetBets to stoke a frenzy over certain companies like GameStop. The financially struggling video-game retailer surged more than 1,600 per cent in January.

The mania led to big losses for some hedge funds, multiple halts in trading and congressional hearings asking who was getting hurt. The rise of small investors is one reason stocks represented a quarter of household assets as of the third quarter, up from only 13 per cent a decade ago, according to Wells Fargo Securities.

Bond prices fell and, in turn, their yields rose this year, but not as much as one might expect with the economy growing and inflation jumping.

Still, yields remain low relative to history. The yield on the 10-year Treasury, for example, is still below where it was in the spring. That could be a product of expectations for inflation to eventually fall and for the economy to moderate its growth too.

Low bond yields have been one of the main reasons that stock prices have surged so high: With bonds paying so little, there’s a widespread belief on Wall Street that there is no alternative to buying stocks.

Anxious investors knocked more than US$1 trillion off the value of high-flying Chinese tech companies on foreign stock exchanges after the ruling Communist Party tightened control over their industries.

Alibaba Group, the world’s biggest e-commerce company by sales volume, was fined US$2.8 billion on charges it suppressed competition. Tencent Holdings, operator of the popular WeChat message service, was ordered to end exclusive contracts with music suppliers. And regulators criticised Didi Global Inc, China’s dominant ride-hailing service, for its handling of customer data.

EV and chips

Electric vehicle sales nearly doubled worldwide as automakers rolled out new models. Many consumers bought EVs to avoid burning oil, but others went for the quick acceleration and crisp handling. Shares of Tesla, the world’s EV leader, jumped were up than 40 per cent as of December 22.

The industry’s old guard revved up its commitment to EVs – for example, General Motors plans a GMC Hummer EV. Although EVs will only be 5.8 per cent of global new-vehicle sales this year, that figure could grow close to 15 per cent in 2025, says research firm LMC Automotive.

A global chip shortage had repercussions across much of the economy in 2021, thwarting consumers who faced delays in getting new cars, video-game consoles and an array of other products. The shortage had its origins in the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, starting with the lockdowns shuttering Asian semiconductor factories in early 2020.

As 2022 approaches, some analysts are now worried about what happens when the shortages ease and an oversupply of chips affects prices.

In the energy market, the rising prices for oil and natural gas unsettled the global economic recovery in 2021. The biggest crunch came in Europe, where by December natural gas prices had soared more than nine times their level at the start of the year amid fears that reserves would run out in a colder than average winter. US President Joe Biden tried pressuring OPEC to boost production and tapping his country’s emergency stockpiles of oil in an effort to lower gasolene prices for US drivers. Oil and gasolene prices did fall, but mostly due to fears of another possible economic slowdown from the ongoing coronavirus pandemic.

Crypto and the metaverse

Cryptocurrency prices went on another roller coaster this past year: surging, plunging and then cycling again. What made 2021 different was how many more people experienced those swings, as crypto crossed into the mainstream.

In the most famous example, El Salvador became the first country to make Bitcoin legal tender. Perhaps more impactful for financial markets, the first exchange-traded fund tied to Bitcoin futures also began to trade.

Meanwhile, the debate over social media’s impact on the public exploded when Facebook whistle-blower Frances Haugen leaked tens of thousands of damning internal documents about the harm the company is causing to its users around the world.

Amid the fallout, Facebook rebranded itself Meta Platforms, reflecting its commitment to developing the metaverse. CEO Mark Zuckerberg described the metaverse as a “virtual environment” you can go inside of – instead of just looking at on a screen.

Meta’s stock price and revenue have so far withstood the turmoil.

AP