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Europe crafts debt deal that pleases markets

Published:Friday | October 28, 2011 | 12:00 AM
German Chancellor Angela Merkel speaks during a media conference after an EU summit in Brussels yesterday. A European Union official says the currency union's leaders have reached a deal with banks to take losses of 50 per cent of their Greek bonds in a key move to solve the Eurozone's debt crisis. - AP
French President Nicolas Sarkozy speaks during a media conference after an EU summit in Brussels yesterday.
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European leaders clinched a deal Thursday they hope will mark a turning point in their two-year debt crisis, agreeing after a night of tense negotiations to have banks take bigger losses on Greece's debts and to boost the region's weapons against the market turmoil.

After months of dawdling and half-baked solutions, the leaders had been under immense pressure to finalise their plan to prevent the crisis from pushing Europe and much of the developed world back into recession and to protect their currency union from unravelling.

World stock markets surged higher Thursday on the news. Oil prices rose above US$92 per barrel while the euro gained strongly — a signal investors were relieved at the outcome of the contentious negotiations.

"We have reached an agreement, which, I believe, lets us give a credible and ambitious and overall response to the Greek crisis," French President Nicolas Sarkozy told reporters. "Because of the complexity of the issues at stake, it took us a full night. But the results will be a source of huge relief worldwide."

Sarkozy later called his Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao and pledged to cooperate to revive global growth, but there was no word on whether Beijing might contribute to Europe's bailout fund.

The fund's chief executive is due to visit Beijing today, Friday, to talk to potential investors. Beijing has expressed sympathy for the 27-nation European Union, its biggest trading partner, but has yet to commit any cash.

The strategy unveiled after 10 hours of negotiations focused on three key points. These included a significant reduction in Greece's debts, a shoring up of the continent's banks, partially so they could sustain deeper losses on Greek bonds, and a reinforcement of a European bailout fund so it can serve as a €1 trillion (US$1.39 trillion) firewall to prevent larger economies like Italy and Spain from being dragged into the crisis.

After several missed opportunities, hashing out a plan was a success for the 17-nation Eurozone, but the strategy's effectiveness will depend on the details, which will have to be finalised in the coming weeks.

The most difficult piece of the puzzle proved to be Greece, whose debts the leaders vowed to bring down to 120 per cent of its GDP by 2020. Under current conditions, they would have ballooned to 180 per cent.

To achieve that massive reduction, private creditors like banks will be asked to accept 50 percent losses on the bonds they hold. The Institute of International Finance, which has been negotiating on behalf of the banks, said it was committed to working out an agreement based on that "haircut," but the challenge now will be to ensure that all private bondholders fall in line.

It said the 50 per cent cut equals a contribution of €100 billion ($139 billion) to a second rescue for Greece, although the Eurozone promised to spend some €30 billion (US$42 billion) on guaranteeing the remaining value of the new bonds.

The full programme is expected to be finalised by early December and investors are supposed to swap their bonds in January, at which point Greece is likely to become the first euro country ever to be rated at default on its debt.

A new day

"We can claim that a new day has come for Greece, and not only for Greece but also for Europe," said Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, whose country's troubles touched off the crisis two years ago. "A burden from the past has gone, so that we can start a new era of development."

Not all Greeks were convinced. Prominent left-wing deputy Dimitris Papadimoulis said the agreement would doom Greeks to a deeper recession.

"The deal puts Greece in a Eurozone quarantine," he said. "We are now locked in a system of continuous austerity, haphazard privatisation, and continuous supervision by our creditors."

He also noted an inherent conflict of interest in the plan.

"Those who monitor us do not have our interests in mind. Their priority is that we pay back our loans," Papadimoulis said.

Since May 2010, Greece has been surviving on rescue loans worth €110 billion (US$150 billion) from the 17 countries that use the euro and the International Monetary Fund, since it can't afford to borrow money directly from markets.

In July, those creditors agreed to extend another €109 billion, but that plan was widely panned as insufficient.

Now, in addition to €30 billion in bond guarantees, the Eurozone leaders and IMF said they will give Greece €100 billion ($139 billion) in new loans.

With the banks being asked to shoulder more of the burden, though, there were concerns they needed more money in their rainy-day funds to cushion their losses. So European leaders have asked them to raise €106 billion ($148 billion) by June.

Increase bailout fund

The last piece in the complicated plan was to increase the firepower of the continent's bailout fund to ensure that other countries with troubled economies - like Italy and Spain - don't get dragged into the crisis. The third- and fourth-largest economies of the Eurozone are too large to be bailed out like the smaller euro nations Greece, Portugal and Ireland have already been.

To that end, the €440-billion (US$610 billion) European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), will be used to insure part of the potential losses on the debt of wobbly Eurozone countries like Italy and Spain, rendering its firepower equivalent to around €1 trillion ($1.39 trillion).

That should make those countries' bonds more attractive investments and thus lower borrowing costs for their governments.

In addition to acting as a direct insurer of bond issues, the EFSF insurance scheme is also supposed to entice big institutional investors to contribute to a special fund that could be used to buy government bonds but also to help states recapitalise weak banks.

Such outside help may be necessary for Italy and Spain, whose banks were facing some of the biggest capital shortfalls.

On the markets, European trading was buoyant from the outset Thursday on the news. Britain's FTSE climbed 2.9 per cent to 5,712. Germany's DAX jumped 4.9 per cent to 6,311 and France's CAC-40 gained 5.5 per cent to 3,344. Shares in Asia posted solid gains earlier in the day.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial index opened more than 200 points higher to rise above 12,000 points.

- AP