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CARICOM STOCK REPORT: 2011 REVIEW

Published:Wednesday | January 4, 2012 | 12:00 AM

Caricom
stocks enjoyed a solid year in 2011, as 2,218,769,308 shares valued at US$498,595,783 crossed the floors of the six stock exchanges across Caricom.  For the year, 84 stocks advanced, 36 declined
and 6 remained  unchanged.  Jamaica Money Market Brokers was the volume
leader with 569,080,751
shares being
traded, Lasco Distributors posted the largest gain for the year (284.99%),
while on the losing end, First International Bank Jamaica fell 51.14%.

For
the year, twenty-four of the CSX 30 stocks advanced and six declined.  The CSX 30 gained 185 points to close the year
at 1,315, up 16.41% for the year.   On
the Junior Market, eight stocks advanced and five declined as the CJSX gained
755.80 points points to close the week at 
1,816.90, up 71.22% for the year. 
There were noteable gains for Lasco Distributors (284.99%), Lasco
Financial (140.79%), Dolphin Cove (69.72%), HoneyBun (59.95%), AMG Packaging
(54.15%), Blue Power (30.58%) and Jamaica Teas (25.42%).  Table 1 provides  a summary of the broad market indices for the
week as well as some international reference points.  As can be seen from Table 1, the CSX 30
provided higher returns with less volatility than the S&P 500 and the FTSE
100, in 2011.  The evidence of the last
two years since we have been doing these indices suggest, that a well
diversified Caricom portfolio outperfoms many international benchmarks and
Caribbean investors may be missing out on solid returns right in their own back
yard.

Table 1: Broad Market
Indices  January 3 to December 30 2011

 

 

Index

 

Year
To

Date

Volatility

Return
per

Unit
of Risk

Caribbean
AllShare Index CASX

1,795.12

76.87%

2.96%

25.99

Caribbean
Select Index  CSX 30

1,315.00

16.41%

0.27%

60.12

Caribbean
Junior Share Index CJSX

1,816.90

71.22%

1.33%

53.47

S&P
500 (USA)

1,257.60

0.00%

1.44%

0.00

FTSE
100 (UK)

5,572.30

-5.55%

1.34%

-4.16


Table
2: Sector Indices  January 3 to December
30 2011


 

Index

 

Year
to

Date

Volatility

Return
per

Unit
of Risk

Caribbean
Banking Index (CBSX)

1,254.6

13.50%

0.36%

37.34

Caribbean
Conglomerate Index (CCSX)

1,194.7

13.15%

0.40%

33.26

Caribbean
Communications and Utilities Index (CCUX)

1,107.4

-0.72%

0.57%

-1.26

Caribbean
Insurance and Investments Index (CIIX)

1,171.5

26.94%

0.71%

37.83

Caribbean
Manufacturing Index (CMSX)

1,291.9

13.80%

0.42%

32.69

Caribbean
Retail and Distribution Index (CRDX)

1,193.9

17.07%

0.87%

19.70

Caribbean
Tourism and Real Estate Index (CTRX)

1,600.1

85.60%

3.35%

25.58

 


The
CBSX advanced 13.50% in 2011, as thirteen banking stocks advanced, two were
unchanged and eight were unchanged. 
There banking group was led by gains for investors Barita Investments
(134.69%), Bank of Trade and Industry (75.23%), Republic Bank Guyana (52.73%),
NCB Jamaica (49.85%), Citizens Bank (49.48%), Demerara Bank Limited (44.52%),
Scotia Bank TT (39.87%), Capital and Credit Financial Group (36.70%), Bank of
Bahamas (30.41%), Republic Bank Limited (28.05%) and Scotia Group Jamaica
(19.93%).  There were losses for invstors
in FCIB Jamaica (51.14%), Finance Corporation Bahamas (37.76%) and First
Fidelity Bank Bahamas (15.21%).

The
CCUX declined 0.72% in 2011, as eight Communications and Utilities stocks
advanced and six declined.  There were
gains for investors in Light and Power Holdings (116.92%), Gleaner (45.06%),
Dominica Electricity Services (23.00%), Radio Jamaica (13.33%) and Cable and
Wireless Barbados (13.09%).  However, the
group was held down by losses for investors in Cable and Wireless Jamaica
(31.63%), One Caribbean Media (29.59%), Cable Bahamas (19.12%) and Consolidated
Water (8.99%).

The
CCSX advanced 13.15% in 2011, as all eight Conglomerate stocks posted gains in
2011.  The group ws led by gains for
investors in Pan Jamaican Investments (29.84%), Neal and Massey (25.78%), Grace
Kennedy (25.38%), Jamaica Producers (21.24%), Ansa Mcal (20.05%) and SL
Horsford (20.0%).

The
CIIX advanced 26.94% in 2011, as twelve Insurance and Investments stocks
advanced and four declined in 2011.  The
group was led by gains for investors in JMMB (214.83%), National Enterprises
(49.08%), Sagicor Life Jamaica (46.09%), Pan Caribbean Financial Services
(41.60%), Scotia Investments (38.08%), Mayberry Investments (34.09%) and
Guardian Holdings Limited (15.12%). 
There were losses for investors in Doctors Health Services (21.25%),
Eastern Caribbean Financial Holdings (16.30%) and Insurance Corporation of
Barbados (12.13%).

The
CMSX advanced 13.80% in 2011, as twenty one Manufacturing stocks advanced, ten
declined and one was unchanged in 2011. 
The group was led by gains for investors in Berger Paints Jamaica
(57.84%), Kingston Wharves (49.98%), Unilever (47.75%), Desnoe &Geddes
(47.18%), Flavourite Foods (37.73%), West India Tobacco (30.80%), Bico
(26.53%), Demerara Tobacoo (22.33%), Sterling Products (21.34%) and Montego Bay
Ice (11.55%). There were losses for investors in Trinidad Cement (39.89%),
Barbados Farms (39.76%), Salada Foods (29.68%), National Flour Mills (19.75%)
and Banks Holdings (15.50%).

The
CRDX advanced 17.07% in 2011, as nine Retail and Distribution stocks advanced,
two declined and one was unchanged. 
There were gains for investors in Prestige Holdings (65.06%), Agostini’s
(42.06), Carreras (25.83%), Hardware & Lumber (25.80%), AML Foods (25.77%)
and Palace Amusements (14.27%).  There
were losses for investors in Ansa Mcal Barbados (20.61%) and TDC (16.22%),

The CTRX advanced 85.60% in 2011, as five
Tourism and Real Estate stocks advanced, one declined and two were
unchanged.  There were gains for
investors in Pegasus (85.68%) and Ciboney (65.24%).  There were losses for investors in Almond
Resorts (19.35%).

Tables three and four provide some widely
used financial metrics on the biggest movers for the year. 

Table
3:  Top Ten Gainers For 2011

 

EXCH

Index

Return

Close
 

Volume
 

Volatility

Sharpe
Measure

Lasco Distributors

 
JSE

 
CJSX

284.99%

 $0.1553

        
22,270,301

3.18%

89.64

JMMB

 
JSE

 
CCUX

214.83%

 $0.1432

      
569,080,751

2.54%

84.60

Lasco Manufacturing

 
JSE

CJSX

142.79%

 $0.1609

        
26,426,600

3.28%

43.47

Lasco Financial

 
JSE

CJSX

140.79%

 $0.0721

        
13,262,605

4.74%

29.72

Barita Investments

 
 
JSE

CBSX

134.69%

 $0.0544

        
14,217,653

2.36%

56.96

Light & Power

 
BSE

CCUX

116.92%

 $12.6601

           7,192,122

7.12%

16.42

Pegasus

 
JSE

CTRX

85.68%

 $0.2597

        
38,712,414

3.35%

25.60

Bank of Trade & Industry

 
GASCI

CBSX

75.23%

 $1.3642

                 39,000

1.90%

39.67

Dolphin Cove

JSE

CJSX

69.72%

 $0.0878

        
24,421,720

2.32%

29.99

Ciboney

JSE

CTRX

65.24%

 $0.0006

           4,862,891

6.64%

9.82

Table 4: Biggest
Decliners In 2011

 

EXCH

Index

Return

Close
 

Volume
 

Volatility

Sharpe
Measure

FCIB Jamaica

 
JSE

 
CBSX

-51.1%

 $0.0751

                 80,049

16.10%

-3.18

Trinidad Cement

 
 
TTSE

 
 
CMSX

-39.8%

 $0.2659

           3,167,297

1.65%

-24.23

Barbados Farms

 
 
BSE

 
 
CMSX

-39.7%

 $0.7389

                 62,452

2.10%

-18.95

Finance Corporation

 
 
BISX

 
 
CBSX

-37.7%

 $4.5000

               175,739

2.26%

-16.73

CW Jamaica

 
JSE

 
CCUX

-31.6%

 $0.0023

      
289,218,353

4.08%

-7.75

Salada Foods

 
JSE

 
CMSX

-29.6%

 $0.1024

        
13,983,766

0.88%

-33.66

One Caribbean Media

 
 
TTSE

 
 
CCUX

-29.5%

 $1.7884

               479,598

1.31%

-22.61

Doctors Health Services

 
 
BISX

 
 
CIIX

-21.2%

 $1.2400

                 41,920

1.08%

-19.69

AnsaMcal Barbados

 
BSE

 
CTRX

-20.6%

 $5.7882

           2,788,400

0.00%

 

National Flour Mills

 
TTSE

 
CMSX

-19.7%

 $0.1089

          
2,632,735

2.17%

-9.12

The following tables provides summary
information on Caribbean Stocks in 2011.

Table
5.  Most Active Stocks In 2011

 

Volume Traded

Value Traded

Market Capitalization

JMMB

      
569,080,751

 $51,419,732

 $            209,536,121

CW Jamaica

      
289,218,353

 $762,008

 $               20,294,609

NCB Jamaica

      
180,880,177

 $52,338,776

 $            799,269,348

Jamaica Broilers

      
119,247,609

 $9,013,070

 $               81,982,110

Pan Caribbean Financial Services

        
99,871,532

 $30,446,934

 $            168,045,358

Sagicor Life Jamaica

        
91,934,986

 $10,176,176

 $               12,027,515

Caribbean Producers

        
81,384,776

 $2,605,300

 $         35,565,491.31

Gleaner

        
75,957,539

 $1,822,546

 $               30,770,344

General Accident & Insurance

        
63,756,530

 $1,889,583

 $               29,770,222

Table
6.  Most Valuable Companies at December
30 2011

 

Exchange

Market Capitalization

Pegasus

JSE

 $    259,468,879,418

Republic Bank Limited

TTSE

 $         2,407,239,798

First Caribbean Bank Jamaica

JSE

 $         2,258,015,881

Ansa Mcal

TTSE

 $         1,503,990,246

National Enterprises Limited

TTSE

 $         1,399,581,621

Scotia Bank Trinidad & Tobago

TTSE

 $         1,380,200,752

Scotia Group Jamaica

JSE

 $            862,681,030

West India Tobacco Company

TTSE

 $            803,689,293

National Commercial Bank Jamaica

JSE

 $            799,269,348

Commonwealth Bank Limited

BISX

 $            688,320,003

Table
7. Highest Dividends Payers in 2011 (Dividends Per Share (US $))

 

Exchnage

Dividend Per Share (US$)

Lascelles

JSE

 $                 0.49

St. Lucia Electricity Services

ECSE

 $                 0.46

Republic Bank Limited

TTSE

 $                 0.43

Cable and Wireless Barbados

BSE

 $                 0.38

West India Tobacco Company

TTSE

 $                 0.34

JS Johnson

BISX

 $                 0.32

Wibisco

BSE

 $                 0.30

Commonwealth Bank Limited

BISX

 $                 0.24

Demerara Tobacco Company

GASCI

 $                 0.24

Unilver

TTSE

 $                 0.21

Table
8.  Best Risk/Return Trade Off In 2011

 

Sharpe Performance Measure

Return for
Year

Volume Traded

Close price

Dividend per Share

Volatility

Wibsicso

620.02

5.99%

                
13,538

 $4.9310

 $0.30

0.01%

Cable & Wireless Barbados

162.65

13.09%

              
508,028

 $2.6305

 $0.38

0.08%

Lasco Distributors

89.64

284.99%

        
22,270,301

 $0.1553

 
$0.001626
 

3.18%

JMMB

84.60

214.83%

      
569,080,751

 $0.1432

 
$0.003486
 

2.54%

Unilever

70.32

47.75%

              
546,325

 $5.0587

 $0.21

0.68%

Scotia Bank Trinidad & Tobago

66.25

39.87%

              
860,455

 $7.8268

 $0.20

0.60%

West India Tobacco

58.29

30.80%

              
162,229

 $9.5405

 $0.34

0.53%

Agostinis

57.30

42.06%

              
540,744

 $2.1087

 $0.02

0.73%

Barita Investments Limited

56.96

134.69%

        
14,217,653

 $0.0544

 
$0.000408
 

2.36%

Prestige Holdings

44.32

65.06%

          
1,923,227

 $1.0886

 $0.02

1.47%

NEL

43.98

49.08%

4,671,258

$2.3326

$0.09

1.12%

Department
of Management Studies, UWI Cave Hill.  Justin.Robinson@uwi.cavehill.edu